Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.385368 0.509605 0.652620 0.827076 1.031787 1.262128 1.538599
2025-11-23 0.219219 0.366814 0.562859 0.831365 1.178680 1.602433 2.147848
2025-11-30 0.139438 0.295960 0.533808 0.893184 1.394772 2.044004 2.920961
2025-12-07 0.085068 0.235093 0.496882 0.930407 1.576865 2.455405 3.688328
2025-12-14 0.048399 0.182161 0.452832 0.942903 1.719148 2.819836 4.415039
2025-12-21 0.024241 0.135014 0.400280 0.926785 1.810870 3.114820 5.060130
2025-12-28 0.012439 0.106570 0.371737 0.942108 1.947170 3.476749 5.810522
2026-01-04 0.005450 0.081990 0.340393 0.943492 2.056771 3.801318 6.518252
2026-01-11 0.001582 0.058229 0.298280 0.912955 2.105724 4.032610 7.096934
2026-01-18 0.000273 0.041381 0.264494 0.890308 2.162454 4.274732 7.696505
2026-01-25 0.000018 0.031329 0.245454 0.894952 2.266362 4.593701 8.418722
2026-02-01 NaN 0.020802 0.214801 0.863984 2.298372 4.795188 8.967182
2026-02-08 NaN 0.017228 0.212440 0.905141 2.475952 5.249367 9.926054
2026-02-15 NaN 0.012235 0.196851 0.907788 2.577249 5.580640 10.705853
2026-02-22 NaN 0.011001 0.203060 0.972461 2.809017 6.141714 11.859945
2026-03-01 NaN 0.008902 0.200597 1.011415 2.989854 6.621503 12.897624
2026-03-08 NaN 0.006395 0.190276 1.024386 3.116372 7.011177 13.801425
2026-03-15 NaN 0.003850 0.171909 1.007165 3.175798 7.284561 14.525176
2026-03-22 NaN 0.002634 0.164342 1.023333 3.308610 7.691114 15.471190
2026-03-29 NaN 0.001581 0.153407 1.024763 3.407594 8.039119 16.328301
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000659 0.134828 0.992382 3.425792 8.240417 16.949168
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000227 0.119882 0.968360 3.460234 8.471020 17.621665
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000083 0.112586 0.973280 3.563585 8.831641 18.516107